Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 226.148736 254.405338 285.664208 322.957403 366.430749 415.738747 476.223441
2025-04-06 182.715693 219.625684 263.978149 321.784097 395.996357 489.260105 617.246699
2025-04-13 153.213010 191.685489 240.317082 307.326001 398.897444 522.129476 704.882768
2025-04-20 141.504248 183.318043 238.580632 318.622211 434.444375 600.646381 866.277462
2025-04-27 133.210582 177.841730 239.158333 331.979603 473.411177 688.740759 1058.170212
2025-05-04 122.835872 168.038530 232.137535 332.791042 492.979979 749.600313 1218.231325
2025-05-11 111.790942 156.007703 220.362656 324.548214 496.567112 784.446236 1339.746498
2025-05-18 102.857799 146.149004 210.664644 318.076651 501.586741 821.618530 1472.316285
2025-05-25 98.810550 143.172484 211.014391 327.512672 534.299632 912.206185 1728.937554
2025-06-01 93.002260 136.937392 205.573974 326.514694 548.220554 969.963252 1931.388375
2025-06-08 86.829577 129.616064 197.693189 320.357835 551.662234 1007.593247 2098.286358
2025-06-15 82.652719 125.152809 194.077766 321.222082 568.271875 1074.232100 2350.240372
2025-06-22 77.358304 118.604704 186.626602 314.739705 570.429782 1112.525572 2547.802400
2025-06-29 73.396398 114.003051 182.155588 313.361640 582.808101 1175.806557 2832.047338
2025-07-06 67.808020 106.275079 171.628427 299.390387 567.099245 1172.171080 2928.870227
2025-07-13 66.513002 105.785832 173.852069 310.324235 606.020664 1304.992365 3473.712874
2025-07-20 65.554646 105.792729 176.934424 323.252873 651.290884 1463.556289 4167.834984
2025-07-27 63.006427 102.804410 174.236897 324.038085 668.843091 1554.201809 4672.816312
2025-08-03 59.535512 97.944904 167.671014 316.060653 664.542886 1584.752789 4972.794573
2025-08-10 56.539218 93.778195 162.145320 309.796385 663.616429 1624.869350 5329.354537
2025-08-17 55.569911 93.272868 163.640143 318.929839 702.365995 1789.508495 6282.678512
2025-08-24 53.515895 90.621167 160.726499 317.963956 715.103024 1878.530924 6957.716507
2025-08-31 51.061876 87.081699 155.812256 312.004607 713.870814 1923.354450 7452.217070